Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-08 159.617326 185.228280 214.979432 252.423592 298.759654 354.841390 4.288194e+02
2025-06-15 127.788152 160.377544 202.430838 261.960384 346.250383 464.914365 6.515791e+02
2025-06-22 103.198593 135.656822 180.284977 248.316695 353.612998 518.338990 8.138623e+02
2025-06-29 89.845355 122.554958 169.903142 246.688677 375.045248 595.892424 1.045014e+03
2025-07-06 80.207747 112.782578 161.995924 246.128355 396.606118 678.995099 1.326847e+03
2025-07-13 76.158329 110.477243 164.678455 262.678945 451.424309 842.376577 1.879297e+03
2025-07-20 73.266021 109.398169 168.890704 282.412186 517.687180 1057.327290 2.736592e+03
2025-07-27 68.133313 103.942631 164.776497 285.748767 551.364063 1213.565927 3.581861e+03
2025-08-03 64.373622 100.268522 163.137163 293.386954 596.668579 1422.198322 4.872896e+03
2025-08-10 60.129499 95.248086 158.309349 293.480012 624.303425 1596.994435 6.301120e+03
2025-08-17 56.879289 91.611271 155.544796 297.376136 662.806432 1829.242683 8.487214e+03
2025-08-24 53.411450 87.219486 150.752561 295.847891 686.614531 2028.477284 1.099547e+04
2025-08-31 49.437090 81.866521 144.109515 290.591502 703.933739 2240.639777 1.458168e+04
2025-09-07 47.378470 79.946596 144.269021 302.024008 777.370184 2762.463520 2.421167e+04
2025-09-14 43.156808 73.451271 134.074945 285.644288 756.813394 2840.325859 2.926659e+04
2025-09-21 40.590283 69.939761 129.795836 283.693088 784.671658 3201.708850 4.319236e+04
2025-09-28 38.392378 66.945513 126.260125 283.021702 817.462111 3640.370871 6.728993e+04
2025-10-05 37.832175 67.177956 129.887878 302.887341 937.864712 4842.105324 1.685664e+05
2025-10-12 37.470295 67.770211 134.416169 326.663700 1090.451225 6680.203411 6.133621e+05
2025-10-19 35.937948 65.748873 132.520185 330.693347 1159.983829 8011.231636 1.882449e+06
2025-10-26 34.803962 64.474911 132.267125 339.928161 1261.659369 10065.824033 1.331168e+07
2025-11-02 33.294118 62.251336 129.399394 340.040756 1318.361432 11830.304253 2.569293e+08
2025-11-09 32.117869 60.667075 127.962028 344.756706 1405.083750 14527.991798 NaN